Champions League Gambling Picks
PSV and Fenerbache fought out a 0-0 draw to my tip a loser last night, and
what was more disappointing for me was the fact that Fenerbache played the
last quarter of the match with 10 men after the sending off of Deivid.
Tonight I am staying with the Champions League and the game between Werder
Bremen and Lazio in Group C.
This is a must win game for Bremen tonight as they have lost both their
previous games in the competition 2-1 at Real Madrid and more surprisingly
3-1 at home to Olympiakos.
Lazio have started with two draws a 1-1 at Olympiakos and a 2-2 at home to
Real Madrid.
Bremen are currently 2nd in the Bundesliga 6 points behind leaders Bayern
Munich after 10 games and they have a home record of won 4 and lost 1 of
their 5 matches scoring 17 but conceding 9. The only blot on their home
record other then the Olympiakos game was when Bayern beat them 4-0 back
in August.
In their last 3 home games however they have found their form and scoring
boots with a 4-1 win against Stuttgart followed by an 8-1 win against
Armenia Bielefeld and in their last home game a 3-2 win against Hertha
Berlin.
Lazio are 13th in Serie A and have started the season slowly, already
finding themselves 10 points behind leaders Inter after only 8 games.
The form on the road has been steady if uninspiring with a win at bottom
club Livorno 1-0 in their last away game the only success to go with draws
at 19th placed Reggina (1-1),9th placed Sampdoria (0-0) and a defeat at
10th placed Atalanta (2-1).
Lazio will no doubt keep it tight again tonight and this game brings
together the classic case of the free scoring home side against the tight
defensive visitor.
I believe Bremen will win tonight's encounter as anything less then a win
as I have previously said will all but eliminate them from the
competition.
They are currently best price 5/6 with Ladbrokes for the win which for me
is a reasonable price. Also for those of you who like historical trends
Bremen have faced Italian opposition 9 times at home and have yet to lose.
I personally feel you can read that stat either way and my reason for
picking Bremen tonight is more to do with the goal threat from Sonogo and
Almeira who between them have already hit 11 this season.
Bremen look set to be able to pick from a fully fit squad tonight whilst
Lazio have a few injury problems. Midfielder Stefano Mauri and defender
Sebastiano Siviglia sustained injuries in Sunday's 1-0 win at AS Livorno,
joining Cribari and Ledesma on the sidelines, also Behrami, Mutarelli and
Goran Pandev, picked up knocks in the Livorno game but should be fit to
play.
So Bremen to beat Lazio @ best price 5/6 with Ladbrokes is my selection
tonight.
As always good luck and happy punting,
Silverfox.
