Burnley Football Club vs Ipswich
Well 4-4 was a great advert for football but not so good for my wallet! At
least i got something back thanks to the over 2.5 goals bet.
Today i am avoiding the Champions League games which in my opinion are
with a couple of exceptions fairly tight games to call in favour of a
match in the Championship.
Burnley to beat Ipswich Championship £50 @6/5
Over 2.5 goals £50 @5/6
Burnley have started the season well with 3 wins 3 draws and only one
defeat which was a 2-0 defeat at Scunthorpe in their second game of the
season. In that time they have scored 12 and conceded 10 with a home
record of 1 win 2 draws and no defeats, the win came in the opening day of
the season against W.B.A. whilst the draws have been against Blackpool and
Crystal Palace.
They find themselves currently 7th in the league and a win tonight would
move them up to 4th depending on other results.
Ipswich are 15th in the league and have won 3 and lost 3 so far, with all
the wins at home and all the defeats away. In that time they have scored
10 and conceded 11, with 9 of those goals being on the road with only one
going in at the oppositions end, so it is no surprise that I am going for
a Burnley win tonight.
In fairness to Ipswich it must be said that 2 of the defeats on the road
were to Watford (2-0) and W.B.A. (4-0) but the other was last weekend when
they went down 3-0 at Hull.
Both team's can rely on in forwards who have an eye for goal, with Andy
Gray already having hit 4 in the league for Burnley, and Ipswich having
Pablo Counago who has returned to the club following a spell in Spain with
Malaga and Alan Lee who both have 3 so far.
Head to head over recent encounters tend to favour the home side which
hopefully will be the case tonight.
Dec 2, 06 Championship... Ipswich Town 1 - 1 Burnley FC
Nov 4, 06 Championship... Burnley FC 1 - 0 Ipswich Town
Feb 11, 06 Championship... Ipswich Town 2 - 1 Burnley FC
Sep 27, 05 Championship... Burnley FC 3 - 0 Ipswich Town
Nov 6, 04 Championship... Burnley FC 0 - 2 Ipswich Town
Oct 16, 04 Championship... Ipswich Town 1 - 1 Burnley FC
Feb 21, 04 Championship... Burnley FC 4 - 2 Ipswich Town
Oct 14, 03 Championship... Ipswich Town 6 - 1 Burnley FC
The fact that both teams seem to concede as many as they score leads me
into my other bet which is the good old reliable over 2.5 goals. At the
moment the best price I can find for that bet is 5/6 with ExtraBet and VC
Bet so I will take some of that.
The price for a Burnley win is best price 6/5 with Bet365 and Coral and
taking into account Ipswich's recent away form is for me a little bit of
value and again the balance of my holiday Euros will be on them tonight.
Early team news from the BBC Sports site is that Burnley Defender Michael
Duff will miss the game with a knee problem with former Everton stalwart
David Unworthy a possible replacement and Midfielder Chris McCann has a
hamstring problem which will also see him miss out tonight.
For Ipswich Gavin Williams and Richard Naylor are still on the injured
list whilst Jim Magilton could bring in David Wright to replace Alex Bruce
in defence, with Danny Haynes may come in for Alan Lee up front.
So hopefully i will get back on track with these two efforts tonight, as
always good luck,
Silverfox.
